Taskforce suggests raising tax-to-GDP ratio to 15-20pc by 2035

Taskforce suggests raising tax-to-GDP ratio to 15-20pc by 2035
(Photo: Collected)

Online Desk

Published: 2026-01-29 19:48:15

Dr Zaidi Sattar, Chairperson of the National Taskforce on Restructuring the Tax System and Chairman of the Policy Research Institute (PRI), on Thursday emphasised that Bangladesh needs comprehensive structural reforms rather than incremental administrative measures to secure its long-term economic prosperity.

Speaking at a press briefing organised by PRI to launch the report “Tax Policy for Development: A Reform Agenda for Restructuring the Tax System”, Dr Sattar and Taskforce members presented a blueprint for raising the country’s tax-to-GDP ratio to 10-12 per cent by 2030 and 15-20 per cent by 2035.

Presenting the report prepared for the Ministry of Finance’s Revenue Policy Division, Dr Sattar observed that the current tax system is unnecessarily complex, inefficient and reliant on manual administration.

Dr Sattar cautioned that "tinkering at the margins will not suffice."

He argued that when tax policy is incoherent—marked by narrow bases and distorted rates—even strong enforcement delivers limited revenue.

He noted that weak policy design forces tax administrators to rely on discretionary, ad hoc practices such as aggressive audits and arbitrary valuations, which ultimately erode taxpayer trust.

He proposed reducing the indirect-to-direct tax ratio from the current 70:30 to 50:50 over time.

Under this reform agenda, he said, direct taxes are projected to rise from the current 2.5 per cent of GDP to 9-10 per cent by 2035.

Conversely, the share of trade taxes in total revenue is expected to decline from 28 per cent to around 7.5 per cent by 2035, he added.

Addressing trade policy, Dr Zaidi Sattar stressed reducing reliance on tariffs and para-tariffs, pointing out that the current structure creates a strong anti-export bias and discourages diversification.

He recommended eliminating the use of supplementary duty and VAT for protection purposes.

Furthermore, he highlighted that despite investments in the ASYCUDA World automation system, it remains “grossly under-utilised”.

He called for enforcing valuation through built-in intelligence and post-clearance audits rather than discretionary practices at ports.

Concluding his speech, Zaidi Sattar asserted that only a coherent, policy-led and technology-enabled system can deliver the revenue mobilisation required for Bangladesh’s transition to an upper-middle-income economy.

Chairman of the Bangladesh Krishi Bank Dr Mohammad Zahid Hossain, highlighted the inefficiencies in the Value-Added Tax (VAT) system.

He noted that while VAT revenue stood at 2.8 per cent of GDP in FY2023-24, exemptions cost the state an estimated 3.6 per cent of GDP.

He advocated for a single standard VAT rate and the minimisation of exemptions.

Additionally, he said that the report introduced a proposal for a tax on property transfers through gifts or bequests, bringing an inheritance-related tax element to Bangladesh for the first time in over five decades.

To streamline direct taxation, Vice President of the Institute of Chartered Accountants of Bangladesh (ICAB) Muhammad Mehedi Hassan proposed broadening the personal income tax base while reducing the top marginal rate to 25 per cent to encourage compliance.

Regarding corporate tax, he recommended a uniform 15 per cent rate for firms with equity exceeding 35 per cent of total capital to reduce dependence on bank financing.

He also called for repealing the minimum tax on gross receipts, describing it as regressive, and limiting withholding taxes strictly to salaries, interest, dividends, and capital gains.

Among others, Member of the FBCCI Budget Expert Committee Snehasish Barua also spoke on the occasion.